If the 10-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 4.5%, it could be a challenge to the market, says BNY ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

Treasury yields declined after Fed Chair Powell said policymakers see employment stabilizing while inflation remains above target.

1556 ET – The Treasury yield curve flattened a bit to start the week as the 10-year Treasury yield fell by about 3 basis points, while the 2-year yield ticked lower by less than 1. Futures-market bets ...

0953 ET – Treasury yields are floating higher Friday morning, but trading has remained strictly range bound since early December as traders seek a direction. “Market participants remain focused on the ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

BENGALURU (Reuters) -Short-dated U.S. Treasury yields will edge lower on expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts even as the long end resists the pull thanks to sticky inflation, swelling deficits ...

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...