The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

The yield curve spread that most accurately forecasts recessions is that between the 10-year Treasury bond yield and the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Fed economists and policymakers are also ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...

Elizabeth Guevara is a personal finance reporter who explains the world of business and economics and how it impacts your finances. She joined Investopedia in 2024. J. David Anke / Getty Images The ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...

Dec 6 (Reuters) - A section of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has moved into inversion. Here is what that means. WHAT ARE TREASURIES? Sign up here. U.S. Treasuries are bonds, or debt, sold by the ...

You’ve likely noticed that short-term money market funds (a popular cash equivalent vehicle) have been paying much more than any time in the past 15 years. Some money market funds are paying as much ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...