The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...
After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...
Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...
Following the jobs report on Friday that showed job creation had deteriorated from “decent” to “weak,” yields dropped across the board, except for the 30-year yield, which ticked up. Yields are now ...
There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...
The muni yield curve has been inverted before, but not for any meaningful length of time - until now. In this environment, it’s possible not only to potentially increase yield, but provide higher ...
The inverted yield curve, an age-old recession indicator that has been flashing since July 2022, is proving reluctant to go away. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was higher than the yield on ...
An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...
Here’s a short presentation by Aswath Damodaran on the recent inverted yield curve and whether there is a signal in the noise. He writes: On December 4, 2018, the yield on a 5-year US treasury dropped ...